Any day now (it could even be tomorrow!), we’ll find out what the most popular baby names in the U.S. are! Except for a COVID delay in 2020, the Social Security Administration releases a new list every May – just in time for Mothers’ Day! The new Top 10 (and especially the #1 spot) is what most people are anxious to hear since that can impact whether they pick a popular baby name. Many parents are concerned if a name even reaches the Top 100. As a name-writer, I’m more excited for the Top 1000.
Why am I so interested in the Top 1000? The Top 1000 is the best, most objective way we have to delineate the popularity or rarity of American baby names. If a name is in the Top 1000, that means at least a few hundred children received it in a given year (for 2021, the last year we have data for, a name needed at least 254 uses for girls and 217 uses for boys to be included). Generally, if a baby name is out of the Top 1000, we call it rare. Here, we’re not talking about names that are popular or unusual across age groups or globally – simply what’s popular or rare for babies born here and now in the United States.
I published my girls’ name predictions yesterday. Here are the boys’ names I think will leave or enter the U.S. Top 1000 in the 2022 dataset! If you’re viewing on mobile, be sure to scroll left to view the entire chart.
Names Likely to Exit the Top 1000:
Name | 2021 Rank | 2021 Babies | 2020 Rank | 2020 Babies | 2019 Rank | 2019 Babies |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Abdullah | 984 | 221 | 810 | 285 | 734 | 327 |
Aldo | 983 | 222 | 783 | 297 | 761 | 311 |
Axl | 845 | 278 | 757 | 316 | 679 | 377 |
Blaine | 986 | 220 | 881 | 255 | 874 | 251 |
Brecken | 922 | 244 | 792 | 291 | 791 | 292 |
Brennan | 871 | 264 | 762 | 314 | 719 | 339 |
Cory | 985 | 221 | 912 | 244 | 902 | 242 |
Crosby | 932 | 240 | 802 | 288 | 778 | 299 |
Eliel | 852 | 275 | 750 | 322 | 663 | 398 |
Ermias | 814 | 295 | 647 | 413 | 541 | 521 |
Gary | 904 | 252 | 804 | 288 | 775 | 302 |
Genesis | 973 | 226 | 827 | 277 | 914 | 240 |
Harley | 923 | 244 | 782 | 298 | 808 | 283 |
Jaxtyn | 935 | 240 | 586 | 470 | 1154 | 168 |
Jakobe | 946 | 237 | 837 | 272 | 1381 | 129 |
Karsyn | 954 | 234 | 700 | 362 | 1063 | 191 |
Kody | 979 | 224 | 955 | 229 | 836 | 269 |
Korbin | 859 | 271 | 709 | 353 | 689 | 369 |
Kristopher | 936 | 240 | 830 | 276 | 772 | 305 |
Landry | 989 | 220 | 947 | 231 | 929 | 234 |
Nova | 853 | 274 | 759 | 316 | 866 | 255 |
Rodney | 965 | 230 | 865 | 261 | 855 | 259 |
Notes:
- Nova is wildly popular and trendy as a girls’ name, and now that it’s in the top 50 with no signs of stopping the ascent, some parents may shy away from Nova as a boys’ name.
- Re: Karsyn and Jaxtyn, I personally wonder if there’s a little bit of fatigue towards unique spellings of Jackson, Carson, and similar names. They are still popular and widespread, of course.
- In this case, Jakobe seems more like a variation of Kobe than Jacob, or a form of Jacob inspired by Kobe. Jakobe became popular again in 2020 after Kobe Bryant’s death.
- Ermias (a form of Jeremiah) was Nipsey Hussle’s legal name. It debuted in 2019 at a rank of #540 and has been falling ever since.
- Kody didn’t actually drop too much (just 5 babies between 2020 and ’21, with a rank change of -24), but with a rank of #979 and all the recent Sister Wives divorce stuff I think this name could be knocked out of the Top 1000.
- Sometimes it’s hard to tell what’s going on at the bottom of the top 1000 because some of the names that look like they could fall out are surprisingly trendy or trendworthy. Parents choose from a much greater variety of baby names than they did in past generations, which makes rare names more popular as a whole. Name popularity also becomes erratic at the bottom of the charts. Karsyn dropped heavily between 2020 and 2021 as a boys’ name, but who knows if it will suddenly rebound? Mordechai is like Karsyn in that it’s dropping fast but ultimately depends on outside factors for popularity. That’s partly why I’m not marking Zev for a likely exit despite ranking #996 and dropping from 2020 to 2021; on the whole, the name is still rising.
Names Likely to Enter:
Name | 2021 Rank | 2021 Babies | 2020 Rank | 2020 Babies | 2019 Rank | 2019 Babies |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aspen | 1056 | 200 | 1146 | 169 | 1190 | 160 |
Azaiah | 1172 | 166 | 1748 | 87 | 1910 | 77 |
Beaux | 1018 | 213 | 1307 | 137 | 1272 | 146 |
Benny | 1006 | 216 | 1149 | 168 | 1186 | 161 |
Boaz | 1019 | 213 | 1125 | 174 | 1067 | 190 |
Campbell | 1043 | 204 | 1171 | 164 | 1297 | 142 |
Cashton | 1044 | 204 | 1039 | 194 | 1165 | 166 |
Crue | 1015 | 214 | 1171 | 164 | 1361 | 131 |
Danilo | 1045 | 204 | 1176 | 163 | 1121 | 155 |
Eren | 1185 | 164 | 2291 | 59 | 1688 | 94 |
Harris | 1001 | 217 | 995 | 213 | 1025 | 202 |
Jrue | 1123 | 180 | 1435 | 120 | 1714 | 92 |
Kacey | 1002 | 217 | 1186 | 162 | 2027 | 72 |
Kaisen | 1021 | 213 | 1048 | 191 | 1055 | 193 |
Lev | 1053 | 201 | 1107 | 177 | 1003 | 208 |
Lux | 1096 | 189 | 1294 | 140 | 1545 | 109 |
Massimo | 1117 | 181 | 1376 | 127 | 1500 | 114 |
Mattias | 1110 | 183 | 1289 | 141 | 1470 | 117 |
Monroe | 1098 | 188 | 1479 | 115 | 1506 | 113 |
Montgomery | 1032 | 209 | 1087 | 182 | 1085 | 184 |
Nikko | 1022 | 213 | 1180 | 163 | 1296 | 143 |
Ollie | 1085 | 193 | 1152 | 168 | 1269 | 147 |
Ozias | 1046 | 204 | 1603 | 101 | 1356 | 132 |
Ren | 1114 | 182 | 1319 | 136 | 1616 | 102 |
Rhodes | 1042 | 205 | 1406 | 123 | 1568 | 107 |
Sevyn | 1012 | 215 | 1114 | 176 | 1507 | 113 |
Shai | 1070 | 197 | 1441 | 120 | 1653 | 98 |
Syncere | 1047 | 204 | 1031 | 197 | 1145 | 170 |
Wren | 1104 | 187 | 1240 | 150 | 1576 | 106 |
Zen | 1191 | 163 | 1198 | 160 | 1389 | 128 |
I also have a list of maybes for names I’m not sure about. These may be more likely to enter in 2023 or 2024.
Other Names that Might Enter:
Name | 2021 Rank | 2021 Babies | 2020 Rank | 2020 Babies | 2019 Rank | 2019 Babies |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Adiel | 1097 | 189 | 1269 | 143 | 1121 | 174 |
Beck | 1059 | 199 | 1032 | 196 | 1208 | 158 |
Benito | 1139 | 175 | 1616 | 99 | 1589 | 104 |
Booker | 1203 | 159 | 1667 | 95 | 1710 | 92 |
Canyon | 1179 | 165 | 1471 | 116 | 1493 | 114 |
Casper | 1119 | 180 | 1222 | 153 | 1202 | 159 |
Draco | 1199 | 160 | 1599 | 101 | 1640 | 99 |
Imran | 1036 | 207 | 1009 | 206 | 1150 | 169 |
Ivaan | 1166 | 168 | 1303 | 138 | 1523 | 111 |
Izan | 1192 | 162 | 1249 | 147 | 1549 | 108 |
Joan | 1107 | 185 | 1133 | 172 | 1172 | 165 |
Kilian | 1175 | 166 | 1224 | 153 | 1353 | 132 |
Kyren | 1097 | 188 | 1203 | 157 | 1187 | 161 |
Kyzer | 1025 | 212 | 1147 | 169 | 1064 | 191 |
Lazarus | 1158 | 171 | 1282 | 142 | 1314 | 139 |
Merrick | 1004 | 217 | 1013 | 205 | 985 | 216 |
Niam | 1163 | 169 | 1300 | 139 | 1397 | 127 |
Ramiro | 1034 | 208 | 1061 | 188 | 1056 | 193 |
Teddy | 1177 | 166 | 1333 | 134 | 1446 | 121 |
Teo | 1151 | 173 | 1366 | 129 | 1335 | 136 |
Veer | 1103 | 187 | 1139 | 171 | 1211 | 158 |
Zamir | 1023 | 213 | 1027 | 200 | 1031 | 200 |
Zephyr | 1100 | 188 | 1285 | 142 | 1228 | 155 |
Notes:
- Rhodes – Celebrity baby name via Emma Roberts, who had her son in 2020.
- Zen was the name of Nick Cannon’s infant son who sadly passed away from cancer. Nick Cannon has many children, most of whom were born from 2020 on. Watch for these first names too: Powerful (g), Zion (b), Zillion (b), Legendary (b), Onyx (g), Rise (b), Beautiful (g), and Halo (g).
- We’re long past Harry Potter, so I don’t know what’s driving Draco up all of a sudden. TikTok, maybe? Did an influencer name their baby Draco?
- Sevyn is a variation of Seven, which have both gotten more popular in part thanks to the character in The Hate U Give.
- Re: Kilian, I wonder if Kylian Mbappe and the World Cup will give related names a boost.
Do you have any names you’re eyeing for the 2022 Top 1000? Not all of these can come or go, but I’m betting a good number will (plus a few surprises). We’ll see the results soon enough!